Brier score

Results: 102



#Item
91Statistics / Probability and statistics / Brier score / Forecast skill / Forecasting / Forecast error / Meteorology / Quantitative precipitation forecast / Statistical forecasting / Prediction / Weather prediction

2012 Spring Forecast Experiment: Forecast Verification Metrics 1.) Traditional, Dichotomous (2-category) Evaluation (excerpted from the WWRP/WGNE Joint Group on Forecast Verification Research website on Forecast Verifica

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Source URL: hwt.nssl.noaa.gov

Language: English - Date: 2012-05-17 12:52:55
92Meteorology / Weather prediction / Ensemble forecasting / Weather forecasting / Forecasting / Probabilistic forecasting / Brier score / Quantitative precipitation forecast / Statistical forecasting / Atmospheric sciences / Prediction

PREDICTING PREDICTABILITY

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Source URL: www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov

Language: English - Date: 2005-03-28 08:54:50
93Science / Brier score / Weather forecasting / Forecasting / Reliability engineering / Meteorology / Ensemble forecasting / Quantitative precipitation forecast / Statistical forecasting / Statistics / Prediction

Microsoft Word - ec_verif_paper_final.doc

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Source URL: www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov

Language: English - Date: 2005-04-26 09:10:42
94Weather prediction / Probability and statistics / Ensemble forecasting / Brier score / Probabilistic forecasting / Forecasting / Probability / Meteorology / Quantitative precipitation forecast / Statistical forecasting / Prediction / Statistics

7 Probability and Ensemble Forecasts ZOLTAN TOTH1, OLIVIER TALAGRAND2, GUILLEM CANDILLE2 AND YUEJIAN ZHU1 1

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Source URL: www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov

Language: English - Date: 2003-06-05 09:31:25
95Probability / Brier score / Forecasting / Weather forecasting / Reliability engineering / Statistical forecasting / Statistics / Prediction

Predictability Seminar, ECMWF, Sept. 9–[removed]VALIDATION OF PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS Zoltan Toth1 Environmental Modeling Center, NCEP

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Source URL: www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov

Language: English - Date: 2002-09-06 18:26:30
96Statistics / Probability and statistics / Probabilistic forecasting / Brier score / Forecasting / Forecast error / Forecast skill / Aess / Statistical forecasting / Prediction / Weather prediction

Assessing probabilistic forecasts about particular situations

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Source URL: forecasters.org

Language: English - Date: 2008-07-21 15:37:46
97Brier score / Scoring rule / Conditional probability / Forecasting / Conditional expectation / Independence / Conditional independence / National Weather Service / Expected value / Probability / Probability theory / Statistics

Combining Probability Forecasts Roopesh Ranjan and Tilmann Gneiting Technical Report no. 543 Department of Statistics, University of Washington

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Source URL: www.stat.washington.edu

Language: English - Date: 2008-10-01 17:24:02
98Brier score / Estimation theory / Likelihood function / Forecasting / Receiver operating characteristic / Precipitation / Quantitative precipitation forecast / Statistics / Probability and statistics / Statistical forecasting

Descriptions of the IRI Climate Forecast Verification Scores The  International  Research  Institute  for  Climate  and  Society   The  Earth  Institute  at  Columbia  University

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Source URL: iri.columbia.edu

Language: English - Date: 2013-10-11 13:53:58
99Weather prediction / Probability and statistics / Ensemble forecasting / Brier score / Probabilistic forecasting / Forecasting / Weather forecasting / Meteorology / Forecast error / Statistical forecasting / Prediction / Statistics

Guidelines for Verification of Ensemble Forecasts 0. Aim of the document The aim of this document is to provide some guidelines and a theoretical

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Source URL: www.cosmo-model.org

Language: English - Date: 2013-01-29 06:11:40
100Data mining / Detection theory / Receiver operating characteristic / Socioeconomics / Brier score / Binary classification / Naive Bayes classifier / Curve / Cost curve / Statistics / Statistical classification / Machine learning

Brier Curves: A New Cost-Based Visualisation of Classifier Performance Jos´e Hern´andez-Orallo

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Source URL: www.icml-2011.org

Language: English - Date: 2011-06-01 14:49:34
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